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Wild Bill's avatar

"Some people see things as they are, and ask 'Why?' I see things as they could be, and ask 'Why not?'"

-- John F. Kennedy, asked by a reporter why he felt he was qualified to be President of the most powerful nation on Earth, having not yet even reached the age of 40

The limitation of AI is that it cannot see things as they could be. It has no imagination. It can scan its databases of past events and probabilities and contributing factors, and make nearly instantaneous 'predictions' if you want to call them that, of how something will play out in the future. The basic assumption is that the future is basically the same as the past, only the circumstances change and then, within an understood range of possibilities.

Given that financial markets are cyclical and driven by human emotion, which on the aggregate can be modeled quite reliably, it is no wonder that Aladdin can predict market responses to varying management strategies.

Such models fall apart whenever the underlying database changes, i.e. whenever there is a transformational event. Which of course can be anything -- anything that is different, missing from the database, and has an effect on behaviors being modeled.

In the end Kennedy was right: seeing the world as it is, is in itself a limiting proposition. One which will always hamstring AI in its attempts to predict what will happen.

I do not doubt that both sides in this Narrative War use AI as a tool. From what I see though, the Cabal believes everything their models tell them, whereas the Patriots use the model as a starting point and then project forward based on their own intuitions and imagination. An ability that the Cabal apparently lacks.

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Paul's avatar

"The human brain is an amazing thing that we take for granted."

~~~

And when lit up, by The Human Soul, Mind Is Created.

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